I use Congres.org for keeping up to date on my local politicians as well as candidates vying for positions. They have a system where people who register with them can 'Pledge Your Vote' and then see the results.

I value this poll over others because I would assume that people who visit this site are better educated (although not any less partisan) and, like my bumpersticker theory, are probably set in their voting ways. I also assume that someone who goes through that much trouble to partake in this are probably very, very, very likely to actually show up at the polls come November 2nd. And that makes me take a serious look at these stats.

Now, the fact that Bush's numbers have steadily declined while Kerry's risen indicates to me that the first numbers were due to lower sampling. As more and more people have registered, it makes sense that the numbers eventually equalized and doesn't truly reflect either politicians' drop or risen popularity. I say this because the lines are flattening out which indicates stability.

This looks very, very good for Bush (who I will be voting for, so you can determine any bias in my post). However, before you Bushies pass out the champagne, the electoral votes are very distressing.

According to this, we're going to have a very close race when it comes to winning enough states to win the presidency. However, if anything, Kerry may take the office without getting the majority vote! Not that I particularly want Kerry in office, but I'd love to see how both sides spin that one. I'd be willing to bet that the right would all of a sudden feel the majority is important while the left would say it's not how the game is played. The hypocrites on both sides would come crawling out of the woodwork.

Congress.org is a decent site to use and I suggest everyone go sign up and pledge your vote so you can see how your candidate is fairing.

And dammit, if you're not registered to vote go register today. And, regardless of ideology, make it to the polls to cast your votes (not just national, but local as well) so your voice can be heard.